Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.355016 0.387643 0.422394 0.462242 0.506768 0.555101 0.611683
2025-12-14 0.297899 0.342907 0.394043 0.456776 0.532119 0.620265 0.732031
2025-12-21 0.258898 0.308342 0.366931 0.442113 0.536943 0.653812 0.810662
2025-12-28 0.240361 0.294478 0.360902 0.449455 0.565973 0.716275 0.928509
2026-01-04 0.225037 0.282356 0.354843 0.454699 0.591014 0.774085 1.044670
2026-01-11 0.211449 0.270845 0.347938 0.457251 0.611453 0.826225 1.157243
2026-01-18 0.199561 0.260359 0.341126 0.458676 0.629533 0.875634 1.270110
2026-01-25 0.190146 0.252323 0.336725 0.462601 0.650812 0.930760 1.396881
2026-02-01 0.177790 0.239281 0.324268 0.453649 0.651803 0.954774 1.476157
2026-02-08 0.170205 0.232374 0.319890 0.455954 0.669583 1.005741 1.604749
2026-02-15 0.161789 0.223699 0.312278 0.452615 0.677936 1.041883 1.711540
2026-02-22 0.155520 0.217729 0.308181 0.454196 0.693949 1.091585 1.847622
2026-03-01 0.147583 0.208952 0.299488 0.448150 0.697315 1.120776 1.950955
2026-03-08 0.140423 0.200965 0.291537 0.442725 0.701237 1.151229 2.060601
2026-03-15 0.131808 0.190305 0.278825 0.428611 0.689010 1.151457 2.110266
2026-03-22 0.128691 0.187938 0.278939 0.435680 0.714182 1.222081 2.311905
2026-03-29 0.125347 0.185016 0.277953 0.440728 0.736002 1.288346 2.513595
2026-04-05 0.121689 0.181394 0.275598 0.443185 0.753149 1.347075 2.707126
2026-04-12 0.118056 0.177624 0.272768 0.444557 0.768259 1.403065 2.902532
2026-04-19 0.115115 0.174823 0.271372 0.448335 0.788159 1.470629 3.135382
2026-04-26 0.110067 0.168333 0.263428 0.439718 0.783160 1.485589 3.242212
2026-05-03 0.107265 0.165441 0.261461 0.441937 0.799773 1.548224 3.478643
2026-05-10 0.103685 0.161088 0.256753 0.438722 0.805086 1.586581 3.658118